Interest rate trajectories in India and the US and moves in the rupee will influence the pace of flows, they said."For 2025, foreign inflows into the Indian government bond market are expected to remain strong but may not match the record levels of 2024," said Wei Li, head of multi-asset investments at BNP Paribas.Overseas investors net boughtHow the rupee moves will also sway foreign investors, with the dollar set to rise more as Donald Trump takes charge as the US president.Currency weakness can temper the momentum of bond inflows, especially in case of persistent depreciation pressure, Dhiraj Nim, an economist and FX rates strategist at ANZ, said.Inflows will continue but at "an erratic and less enthusiastic pace" as the bonds are still relatively attractive, Nim said.Radhika Rao, executive director and senior economist at DBS Bank, sees a gradual pick-up in passive monthly inflows as Indian bonds get added by two more index providers this year.She expects the local central bank to cut rates by 25 basis points in February, and by a total of 75 basis points in the cycle. -REUTERS

Foreign flows into govt bonds to come off record highs

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